Category: poverty

Oil policies, failed thinking

Watching aghast the latest from Trump theater that has the US Navy preparing to blockade the Strait of Hormuz this Monday to prevent ships “entering or departing” Iran, and unsurprised by Iran’s promise of a “forceful response”. Who is writing this insane script unfolding kayâ? The one thing we can be certain of is that things are gonna get very much worse before they get better. Especially here at home where moves to repeal, or at least amend, the Oil Industry Deregulation Act of 1998, the better to serve public rather than private-profit interests, seem to be at a standstill. “Where’s the problem?” tanong ni Sonny Africa, sabay sagot: “It’s in the skewed priorities. Even amid a massive social crisis, the govt is still most concerned about fiscal targets, credit ratings, investment sentiment. And protecting corporate profits and billionaire wealth.” 

On the other hand, in the same vein, investment banker Stephen CuUnjieng had earlier sounded off on how a balanced and enlightened industrial policy is so very hard to do naman talaga and government just has to try harder: “It requires flexible and responsive policy and execution from the government, plus the private sector not always getting what it wants or having to do certain things to get what they want in exchange for national security and development. We failed at it before 1986, and it is hard to get right. So, what did we do? Instead of working harder to get it right, we gave up. “It is too hard, takes too long, so never mind” could be our national motto. [Oil policies and failed thinking https://www.manilatimes]

Not that anyone was listening? CuUnjieng’s April 10 column calls out the Pontius Pilates in government who wash their hands of oil policies, “chickening out and leaving it to the magical private sector” to deal with. Kasi, nasa “the best government is the least government” pa rin sila, which is so Washington Consensus, na matagal nang na-discredit. CuUnjieng rightly harps on the challenge to government to level up, learn from our mistakes and from the example of other oil-dependent countries that are so much better-prepared to address the needs of their people, especially the poor and middle classes, because of hard work, coordinated response, and critical thinking.

Hamlet’s soliloquy and economic Pontius Pilates
By Stephen CuUnjieng
April 10, 2026

“To be, or not to be, that is the question:/Whether ‘tis nobler in the mind to suffer/The slings and arrows of outrageous fortune,/Or to take arms against a sea of troubles/And by opposing end them.” Hamlet

Substitute “to be, or not to be” with “to think or not to think,” and I think we may capture the problem with more than a smattering of our economists, policymakers, and commentators on any pressing issue. Instead of taking arms against a sea of troubles and by opposing end them, they rely on the old, tried and proven failures like that of an over-40-year-old “Washington Consensus” that Washington has abandoned as “a promise that had not been kept” (Jake Sullivan, National Security Adviser on April 27, 2023), and bromides like, leave it to the private sector, and the best government is the least government (yet complaining where is government when they want something). Add their abandonment of industrial policy for laissez-faire, as it failed in our iteration and is too hard.

That is the equivalent of being an economic Pontius Pilate washing one’s hands of policymaking and execution and taking the lazy and unimaginative way by chickening out and leaving it to the magical private sector, even though it is public policy of the highest order and necessity that we are dealing with.

They lament we are at crisis on cost and availability of oil, fertilizers and more. Their solution is — no surprise — no regulation, as the government is too lousy and our politicians too populist and most naive, run to our taipans to save us? As if governance, rather than profit, is their reason for being. I am happy many taipans do CSR and are responsible players, but they are not policymakers or government! Nor their mission to engage in public policy. It is like asking a cardiologist to be an oncologist. Now what? Nothing except incoherent babble and not worked out thoughts, like defaulting to leave it to the private sector as always on any issue. It is clear that the times transcend the ability of what the private sector is equipped to deal with. We face daunting regional and global issues that even sovereigns are incapable of handling individually and are scrambling to work on collectively. Yet here we want to ask the private sector and taipans to take care of it! It is not easy public policy that is needed, but these are times and issues that demand it.

Yet that is not all, horrible as it is. They all trot out another cliché that a crisis is a shame to waste or some platitude to that effect. OK, what is their prescription of dealing with it? Some vague tired reform dating to the 1980s like open the economy to foreign investment without limits and remove restrictions on land ownership? Ano? How does that provide energy and food security? Didn’t that lead to shutting down of refineries and further imports of food staples? We have even less industry now, but lots of warehouses, cold storage, and logistics companies to feed the families of OFWs who hopefully don’t lose their jobs. The biggest job openings domestically will be delivery personnel in their “hugas kamay” vision for the Philippines. Brilliant.

If we are incapable of original and critical thinking, can our economic Pontius Pilates at least learn from what our immediate neighbors successfully did? And without being the teacher’s pet, to a multilateral panacea of removing any safeguards for local industry, and just open everything to unrestricted foreign investment. I need to remind readers of something I have previously written.

When these teacher’s pets and hugas kamay economic Pontius Pilates say look at say the US, Europe, Hong Kong and Singapore — they say they have no statutory limits on foreign investment and show how naïve and uninformed they are. First, there are limits, like transportation is limited to 40 percent foreign ownership in the US, and within EU to members in Europe. In all of them, regulators are allowed to disallow foreign investment if against national interest. Please look up CFIUS and their record. Even in the all-foreign- investment-allowed Hong Kong, regulators decide on your fitness, for example, to own a bank or open an investment bank or asset manager. When Cable and Wireless sold HK Telecom (their PLDT) in 2000, who could buy was vetted, and it was sold to PCCW (owned by Richard Li, son of Li Ka Shing). In 2006, when a group led by Macquarie wanted to buy it, they were told you are not going to get approval, as we are not convinced of your commitment to Hong Kong, given that you are relatively new to investing in Asia. That is reality versus accepting propaganda and marketing like the limited thinking teacher’s pets are.

On industrial policy, all countries got it partly wrong (even Japan and Korea), but stuck with it and improved as they knew manufacturing had to be developed and nurtured for sustained and broad economic growth and prosperity. You think Japan became successful at cars, appliances and electronics because they left it to the private sector and foreign investment? It was government policy set and implemented by the powerful MITI (Ministry of International Trade and Industry) and its successors. What they did was protect them as they grew, but made them grow to be globally competitive and abandon those which did not measure up, given a timeline to improve quality. You think China just let market forces and foreign investment make it the dominant player it is in processing rare earth minerals, renewable energy, batteries and electric vehicles? If you believe that, let me sell you some VHS tapes and Nokia phones. Or even the EU when they decided to challenge Boeing with Airbus?

To those who worry about capitulation to China on the Spratly Islands, well, what these economic Pontius Pilates are doing with their naivete and lazy reliance on failed over 40-year-old solutions that even its originators have abandoned is to me, the economic equivalent of surrender. Grow up and think critically with love of country and patriotism rather than be Pontius Pilates engaging in economic psittacism*. What a kakistocracy* among many of our supposed thinking class.

The author is an independent director of the state-run Maharlika Investment Corp.

  • Psittacism is the mechanical, repetitive, and meaningless use of speech or writing. Derived from the Latin psittacus (parrot), this term describes repeating phrases or jargon without thought or comprehension. It is often used in a pejorative sense, particularly in philosophy and literature, to criticize empty rhetoric or thoughtless repetition.
  • Kakistocracy is a system of government led by the least qualified, most incompetent, or most unscrupulous citizens. Derived from the Greek words kákistos (worst) and krátos (rule), it represents government by the worst people. It is often used in political commentary to describe corrupt or inept leadership.

 

 

NO to BBM’s Maharlika Wealth Fund!

“Honorable Senators of the Republic” by Diwa C. Guinigundo https://www.bworldonline.com/opinion/2023/02/16/505267/honorable-senators-of-the-republic/

“Investing a mountain of debt?” by  Diwa C. Guinigundo https://www.bworldonline.com/opinion/2023/01/12/498061/investing-a-mountain-of-debt/

“In the bag, ho ho ho!” by Manuel L. Quezon III
https://opinion.inquirer.net/159692/in-the-bag-ho-ho-ho

“More critical than Maharlika” by Cielito F. Habito
https://opinion.inquirer.net/159649/more-critical-than-maharlika

“Maharlika is the new government” by Ma. Lourdes Tiquia https://www.manilatimes.net/2022/12/20/opinion/columns/maharlika-is-the-new-government/1870966

“Will Marcos Jr. take up Maharlika Fund at Davos?” by Satur C. Ocampo  https://www.philstar.com/opinion/2022/12/17/2231329/will-marcos-jr-take-maharlika-fund-davos

“Maharlika muddle” by Stephen CuUnjieng https://www.manilatimes.net/2022/12/16/opinion/columns/maharlika-muddle/1870530

“Maharlika foolish, corrupt – critics” by Jarius Bondoc
https://www.philstar.com/opinion/2022/12/14/2230635/maharlika-foolish-corrupt-critics

“ENRILE URGES MARCOS: Review Maharlika bill” https://www.manilatimes.net/2022/12/14/news/review-maharlika-bill/1870127

“Upping the ante by doubling down” by Manuel L. Quezon III
https://opinion.inquirer.net/159500/upping-the-ante-by-doubling-down

“Why the Sovereign Wealth Fund is still problematic on many levels” by Andrew J. Masigan
https://www.philstar.com/opinion/2022/12/14/2230636/why-sovereign-wealth-fund-still-problematic-many-levels

“Decorative” by Alex Magno
https://www.philstar.com/opinion/2022/12/13/2230386/decorative

“Maharlika Wealth Fund: Devil is in the details” by Teresa S. Abesamis
https://www.bworldonline.com/opinion/2022/12/13/492801/maharlika-wealth-fund-devil-is-in-the-details/

“Imploding” by Alex Magno https://www.philstar.com/opinion/2022/12/10/2229774/imploding

“Who Wants the Maharlika Wealth Fund?” by Solita Monsod https://marengwinniemonsod.ph/2022/12/10/maharlika-wealth-fund/

Maharlika Investment Fund ‘beyond repair,’ says Economist & National Scientist  Raul Fabella https://newsinfo.inquirer.net/1703562/mif-beyond-repair-says-natl-scientist-in-economics

Economist Winnie Monsod reacts to Maharlika Fund proposal [“Ridiculous!”] https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=919ww8jbzBk

“Fumble” by Boo Chanco https://www.philstar.com/business/2022/12/09/2229496/fumble

“Maharlika conundrum” by Stephen CuUnjieng https://www.manilatimes.net/2022/12/09/opinion/columns/maharlika-conundrum/1869617

“Death blow for a dumb idea” by Ben Kritz https://www.manilatimes.net/2022/12/08/opinion/columns/death-blow-for-a-dumb-idea/1869481

“Blink thrice if you don’t mean it” by Manuel L. Quezon III https://opinion.inquirer.net/159368/blink-thrice-if-you-dont-mean-it

“Defeat” by Alex Magno https://www.philstar.com/opinion/2022/12/06/2228787/defeat

“Drop the Maharlika fund” by Cielito F. Habito https://opinion.inquirer.net/159331/drop-the-maharlika-fund

“Maharlika Fund idea is incredibly obtuse like, ‘what are we in power for?'” by Yen Makabenta  https://www.manilatimes.net/2022/12/06/opinion/columns/maharlika-fund-idea-is-incredibly-obtuse-like-what-are-we-in-power-for/1869196

“Business groups, economists issue joint statement on ‘Maharlika’” by Ma. Stella F. Arnaldo https://businessmirror.com.ph/2022/12/06/business-groups-economists-issue-joint-statement-on-maharlika/

“Are we ready for a sovereign wealth fund?” by Randy David https://opinion.inquirer.net/159282/are-we-ready-for-a-sovereign-wealth-fund

“Cronies wealth fund?” by Boo Chanco  https://www.philstar.com/business/2022/12/05/2228516/cronies-wealth-fund

“The Maharlika Fund: A Pricey Stud Or A Milking Cow?” by Heneral Lunacy https://heneralunacy.wordpress.com/2022/12/05/the-maharlika-fund-a-pricey-stud-or-a-milking-cow/

“Keep your hands off our SSS, GSIS money” by Jarius Bondoc https://www.philstar.com/opinion/2022/12/02/2227919/keep-your-hands-our-sss-gsis-money

“Maharlika Fund: Dubious, pretentious and self-serving” by Sonny Africa https://www.ibon.org/maharlika-fund-dubious-pretentious-self-serving/

“The Maharlika Wealth Fund” by Filomeno S. Sta. Ana https://www.bworldonline.com/opinion/2022/12/04/490838/the-maharlika-wealth-fund/

“13 reasons why WE OPPOSE House Bill 6398 (Maharlika Investment Fund/PH Sovereign Wealth Fund)” by David Michael San Juan https://www.facebook.com/lastrepublic/posts/pfbid0scC3HnBcZyvpdS1fr7ZP1j1ZH2jyUW1vcYgnBAk6mmUoWnmLC1Pxp4iUcdBfUengl

“Galawang Marcos. Another Corruption Scheme in the Making!” by Ed Lingao https://www.facebook.com/100083035164368/videos/679806213550044/

“More fun(d) in the Phl” by Ana Marie Pamintuan https://www.philstar.com/opinion/2022/12/05/2228532/more-fund-phl

Inchoate displays of anger

AMELIA HC YLAGAN

“Inchoate” means imperfectly formed or formulated: formless, incoherent, the Merriam-Webster dictionary says, to which the Cambridge dictionary adds, “not completely developed or clear.” When Sanjoy Chakravorty, professor of global studies at Temple University, Pennsylvania, called the fever of street protests around the world in 2019 “inchoate displays of anger,” “inchoate” can only mean futile and desperate.

The Guardian, in its Oct. 25 issue, cites experts in academe on political science, speaking on the long-playing “protests in Hong Kong, Lebanon, Chile, Catalonia and Iraq as well as in Russia, Serbia, Ukraine and Albania… the UK (against Brexit), France (yellow vest movement), and Spain, in the restive region of Catalonia. The Middle East has convulsed with so much dissent that some are calling it a second wave of the Arab Spring. In South America, Brazil, Peru, Ecuador, Colombia and Venezuela have experienced popular unrest.” The article asks, “Protests rage around the world — but what comes next?”

Read on…

PH awash with cash

Tony Lopez

… It is not for lack of money that the government cannot institute drastic reforms and alleviate poverty. This government and this country are awash with cash. The economy is awash with cash.

Where is that money?  To start with, the savings rate is 30 percent of the value of output of goods and services or GDP.  GDP is P15 trillion.  So 30 percent of that is P4.5 trillion.   With that, we can finance the entire government’s operations for one year and still have P1 trillion of excess money.

We have $27 billion in annual OFW remittances. That’s P1.35 trillion.  It can finance the entire government infrastructure program in 2019.  The P1.35 trillion is 1.6x the infra budget of P847.2 billion this year. This P1.356 trillion is orphan money because nobody marshals it for productive purposes.  The P1.35 trillion thus is marooned inside elegant malls and in forests of condos where a square meter is overpriced at least five times its real value.

In addition, we earn $25 billion from our call centers and business process outsourcing (BPO).  That’s another P1.25 trillion.

Moreover, right at the central bank, private banks have parked P3 trillion of private deposits— money the banks are too lazy or too afraid to lend (because the BSP is a much better borrower and you talk to only one guy).  If the banks were to lend out the P3 trillion, they would have to employ entire bureaucracies—processing loan applications, interviewing loan applicants, visiting or assessing properties used as collateral, and holding so many meetings to approve the loans.

… Additionally, the Philippines has $81.8 billion in foreign reserves—money that can pay for importations for a year.  That’s another P4-trillion money.

So why do your bureaucrats keep courting credit rating agencies to get an investment grade credit rating?  We don’t need to borrow abroad.  We don’t even need foreign investments.

We have so much money locally.  So why does Duterte go around the world panhandling?  The Philippines is capital-surplus.  In fact, the country has been exporting capital, rather than importing, in the past 10 consecutive years.

Duterte has appointed a new central bank governor, Nestor Espenilla, 58.  He is an economist and a 36-year veteran at BSP. Our central bank is supposed to be among the world’s best. Outgoing BSP Governor Amando Tetangco Jr. has been cited world’s best no less than eight times.

So again I ask this:

If the Philippines is awash with so much money and our central bank is that good and (it is among the oldest central banks in Asia), how can you explain the fact that in Asean, with the possible exception of Indonesia, the Philippines has the highest inflation rate, the highest interest rates, the highest unemployment, the highest poverty incidence, and the lowest foreign investment inflow and the lowest ranking in Asean in Human Development Index or a measure of people’s well-being.

How come out of 1,500 towns, 600 towns  do not have a bank branch?  How come more than 60 million Filipinos do not have a bank account?

Amid so much liquidity (the techspeak for so much cash), how come 25 million Filipinos wallow in abject poverty?