Category: social media

The self-esteem of Ronald Llamas

So I was trying to ignore the Rowena Guanzon bruhaha sa Rockwell, and then I happened on a former general’s vlog on YouTube with the title, “Atty Guanzon, Sinupalpal nang Todo si Ronald Llamas Kapwa niya Kakampink?” 

Clickbait. Hindi ko na-resist kasi hindi Kakampink kundi DDS na ang datíng sa akin ni Guanzon — di ba kinampihan niya si Kiko Barzaga recently? — sabay, wow, she dared supalpal Llamas the Kakampink? About what? … E di da Rockwell iskandalo pala mismo, that Llamas couldn’t resist remarking on, being the very public heckler he is these days.

So. Apparently Guanzon, unmasked, coughed loudly in a very public place, just once, she says, more than once, others say, and, as she recounts on Twitter, a certain Chiong couple nearby dared call her out.

GUANZON: ” Dont u have money to buy a mask?” Chiong said to me condescendingly. Matapobre. Ikaw, dont u have money to buy a Rolex ? Hindi galing sa nakaw ang Rolex at Gucci ko. https://x.com/rowena

Next day, tila di nakapagpigil ang heckler. https://www.facebook.com/

LLAMAS: Bumaba na naman self-esteem ko. Wala akong Rolex saka Gucci eh.

Kinabukasan, binalingan siya ni attorney sa Twitter at sa DZRH News TV. https://www.youtube.com/

GUANZON: Okey lang yan, pogi ka naman. Naging kayo nga ni ano, di ba? …
https://www.facebook.com/photo/ … Marami ka namang baril, di ba u were arrested for illegal possession?” https://x.com/BalitaNgayon

Ang ayoko dito, they are taking advantage kasi nile-label nila akong DDS kaya binabanatan nila ako kasi. Takot sila na mag-senador ako. Llamas, mas bagay naman akong mag-senator kaysa sa iyo. Maawa ka naman sa Pilipinas kung ikaw ang mag-senador.

Doon ka sa line-up ni Risa Hontiveros, pareho kayong mga komunista diyan. Kasalanan ko ba kung pinanganak ako na hindi ako mahirap, kaya hindi ako nag-komunista? Ang problema sa inyo, gusto niyo komunista. Hindi ako bagay diyan—sosyalista ako.

To be fair to Llamas, he wasn’t arrested naman for illegal possession of firearms back when he was PNoy’s political adviser. And he has always admitted he’s a leftist but not a communist. Just the same, giving Guanzon an opening for this kind of bardagulan doesn’t do his cause any good, not when he’s so high-profile a propagandist for a moderate Akbayan that hopes to propel Risa to the presidency sa 2028. https://www.philstar.com/

Guanzon didn’t even have to name Hontiveros. Many already knew it was she that Guanzon was referring to, and word spread quickly, even if Risa denied it back in 2013. Friends lang, sabi niya. Chismax lang, sabi ni Llamas. Pero ano nga ba yung chismax? Ang nakarating sa akin, that it was true for a while, but it didn’t last, and neither cares to tell why, so better to deny. At least that’s the sense I get. And then again, I could be wrong, baka naman hearsay lahat.

It shouldn’t really matter, not in an ideal world anyway. Except that it does matter in the real world, where in the next breath kumbaga, Guanzon piled on the two, charging them of being komunista, which is the more troubling because the the DDS are lapping it up and regurgitating it as anti-Risa akbayad propaganda.

It was a mistake giving Guanzon that opening. Llamas shouldn’t have joked about his low self-esteem if he cared more about Akbayan and the people he purports to speak for. Hindi naman niya kinailangang sumawsaw sa drama ni Guanzon who was already doing herself in without his help. E ayun, binuhay pa niya uli, nadamay tuloy si Risa.

Hindi bale sana kung kakayanin ni Llamas na ipaliwanag sa madlang pipol, from his many media platforms, kung ano nga ba ang ipinagkaiba niya sa isang komunista, gayon din sa sosyalista-daw na si Guanzon. Masalimuot na usapín, di ba, na iniiwasan siyempre kasi medyo mahirap ipaliwanag nang hindi ma-o-offend ang mga komunista, na hiráp ding ipaliwanag kung ano nga ba ang ipinagkaiba ng Luneta sa EDSA, at kung bakit hindi sila maipagkaisa.

Good of Guanzon to push the discourse to this point, LOL. The ball’s in Llamas’s court. Though of course he could just keep laughing it off as he did today. Whatever works for his self-esteem, na napakataas pala, contrary to the self-deprecation.

Palpak DDS propaganda

Dahil Digong is detained in The Hague, and Sara is up for an impeachment trial here, and desperate ang mga DDS to bring Digong home AND to get the VP’s mpeachment case dismissed, they pounce on every opportunity to paint BBM as an incompetent leader who deserves to be ousted and replaced by the VP, now na. They’re also not beyond pouncing on the First Lady every chance they get, as in the Tantoco case. This, as the Ph Coast Guard is making suyod Taal Lake for the remains of e-sabungeros who went missing under Digong’s watch.  Distracting us much?

Duterte propagandists eating up the dead: The worst of political discourse
Katrina Stuart Santiago
VeraFiles.Org

What is the size of a controversy? And how is a story magnified, amplified, expanded at this time when anyone at all can manufacture digital noise, generate so much content that it will make it to our newsfeeds despite our algorithmic bubbles?

The Rodrigo Duterte presidency was a grand display of how government propagandists could make mountains out of molehills, be it about the purported achievements of their beloved president, or about his declared political enemies. We now know what it takes to keep any narrative going, where content is constantly and consistently generated to feed it, to repeat what is being said, until it starts moving on its own. Case in point: the criticism against the elite, the label of dilawan, the terrorista-komunista tag, and even, the label bobotante.

This, to me, is how we know for sure that even the worst, most baseless false narratives, when un-addressed and un-dealt with, can and will fester. To the point that there is no curing it—not with the truth, and certainly not with the tools that are familiar.

The Anti-First Lady trip

Duterte propagandists have always had it in for First Lady Liza Marcos, a project that has been helped along by both Vice President Sara Duterte’s and the Presidential sister and Senator Imee Marcos’s pronouncements against her.

What happened at the First Lady’s US trip for the Manila International Film Festival (MIFF) in March, as such, from the perspective of the Duterte propagandists, is an opportunity to hit the First Lady harder than they ever have. Never mind common sense and decency; never mind respect for a family in grief.

As early as March 11, the louder among the Duterte propagandists was already screaming at the top of her lungs about the death of someone from the First Lady’s MIFF entourage. Her unverified tsismis was aplenty: the First Lady was questioned and detained, the group of the FL was “nataranta”, they didn’t report the death until seven hours after, all of this pointing to what she insisted was an effort to cover up the death.

Part of this story was repeated by Vice President Sara Duterte in May, during the electoral campaign, where she connects this narrative about the First Lady being detained to the arrest of Rodrigo Duterte by the International Criminal Court (ICC). On May 5 2025 the Vice President claimed:

Noong nagkaroon ng malaking krimen sa Estados Unidos na mayroong namatay dahil sa drug overdose at kung makikita ninyo sa police report ay nandoon ang pangalan ni First Lady Liza Marcos. Noong nagkaroon ng drug overdose at mayroong namatay sa Amerika at nandoon sa loob ng kwarto si First Lady Liza Marcos at nandoon sa police report, cocaine ‘yong sinasabing nagkalat doon sa kuwarto na ‘yon, ay bigla na lang nila hinila, kindinap, dinukot si Pangulong Duterte.

This narrative that the Vice President weaves is one that has been repeated by Duterte propagandists. It surfaced in response to the fact that while the first tsismis spewed was that the First Lady was detained on March 8, this was easily disproven by the First Lady’s official accounts, among many others: during the day she is seen with members of the Philippine Consulate General in Los Angeles, and in the afternoon and evening at the MIFF 50: Konsyerto Para sa Filipino at Cerritos Center for Performing Arts in California. She would also be in Manila by March 11, turning over donations to the Girl Scouts of the Philippines.

But being disproven by facts is rarely the end for these narratives, dependent as these are on insinuations and possibilities, mostly maliciously articulated. Once the detention was disproven, it was only a matter of time before they came up with a new way to spin the narrative—because again, the goal is to keep it going. And going.

Unknotting the narrative

On rotation on Duterte social media algorithms has been a police report with margins in pink. At the bottom of it is what the Duterte propagandists have used to drive a knife through the First Lady’s narrative: her name along with two others, calling her a “companion of the victim” who is “summoned for questioning.”

The Palace, through its Spokesperson Claire Castro, has called this bottom section of that document “fake”, saying that it was added to the original document which only details what had happened to Mr. Tantoco.

The Duterte propagandists, of course, will not have any of it. For one, they insist this is a matter of public interest, that someone who they claim was part of the First Lady’s entourage died of a drug overdose. For another, they insist that since public funds were used for this MIFF project and trip, that they—and we—have the right to ask about what unfolded, especially given what they claim to be a “big deal”.

The reasoning behind thinking this “a big deal” is different for all of them. For the noisiest and crassest among them, protected as she is by being in America, she claims that this is proof of a government being run like a drug syndicate, and we should all be angrily standing with her in her battle against it. For the ones who are in the Philippines and already at risk of being sued for libel and defamation, they insinuate that the fact that the First Lady evaded questioning gives the US leverage against us.

If these are far-fetched and out of this world, that is precisely the point I am making here. It is as absurd as the connection the Vice President has made between the Tantoco death and the arrest of her father, which implicates the First Lady in both.

At the heart of all of this is the worn-out and disproven yet sustained baseless insistence that the President is a cocaine addict. This is the bigger narrative that this smaller story about the First Lady sustains; this is the larger claim that these smaller stories are supposed to buttress. In the same way that these are sustained by a Harry Roque creating dance steps to the “bangag” song that is now on its nth iteration; in the same way that this is sustained by the worst of political discourse that seems to gleefully celebrate the death of a person, because it is a means to the end they’ve been working towards.

It is why it’s important that when we engage with stories such as this one, we contextualize it in how it’s been sustained by the Duterte side all this time; because the last thing we want to do is to encourage these narratives and layer it with our own sense-making. Yes, we can be critical of the Marcos government, but goodness gracious, we certainly can do it better than the best of the Duterte propagandists.

Accidents, propriety, sobriety

It was on March 11 2025 that the Philippine Consulate General posted a statement on the death of Mr. Juan Paolo Tantoco, the same day the family would officially make its announcement. On July 13 2025, the LA County Medical Examiner-Coroner’s Office report would be released online about Tantoco’s death, which is why we are speaking about it at all.

Duterte propagandists will insist this is a big deal and spew a whole lot of questions that they insist deserve answers. Yet, even on the surface, all of this makes sense.

Tantoco was obviously plus-one to his wife, who was on official duty as Deputy Social Secretary. As one who has been plus-one on low-key small-scale government-funded trips, this to me always means that I will spend for my own expenses, including flights, hotel room additions (if you’re staying in the same room), and meals. This also means that you are not tied to the itinerary or schedule of the delegation.

Given who Tantoco is, it seems safe enough to presume that he didn’t spend a cent of public funds to make this trip.

And let’s say that he was, in fact, seen at some of the parties related to MIFF—wouldn’t that have been simply his right, given that he is also a taxpayer whose taxes paid for that dinner? That is how I would rationalize my own meals were it given to me as plus-one.

Being plus-one also means that you are extraneous to the official delegation; you can decide freely what to do with your time, and you can engage in activities that are solely yours. What happened to Tantoco on March 8 was solely his and his wife’s business. That his wife might have been on official duty as Deputy Social Secretary doesn’t make this any more a public matter than if the accident happened in Manila, while the wife was working in Malacañang.

That the First Lady would carry on with her activities on March 8, despite the death of her Deputy Social Secretary’s husband, is also as expected. She needed to keep to her schedule and keep up appearances, if only to give the family time and space to inform children and elders, put affairs in order, and address the situation calmly, properly, and with as much clarity as possible.

This is what decency and propriety teach us to do. This is what pakikiramay means. If that is something we cannot even see anymore as valid, if it is something that we must question, then that says more about those asking these questions than it does about the First Lady.

What might in fact be truly controversial is the fact that we have a Vice President drawing far-fetched connections in the way her father did to justify his slapshod leadership, and a Presidential sister and Senator demanding that government violate the Tantocos’ right to privacy to feed the monster that is Duterte propaganda.

What is a big deal is that we are at a point where we cannot tell the difference anymore between irresponsible, unjust, baseless commentary that should be shut down at scale, and the kind of political discourse this democracy urgently needs.

 

 

Trust ratings, painful truths

I totally agree with Ronnie Holmes of Pulse Asia that the high trust ratings of Digong and Sara as of May 6-9, just before the elections, had a lot to do with the timing of Sara’s impeachment (Feb 7) by the Lower House followed by Digong’s arrest and rendition to ICC jurisdiction (March 11). https://www.gmanetwork.com/

I-i-impeach din pala, why did Congress not strike while Sara’s trust ratings were down, soon after the Nov 2024 hitman threats on BBM atbp., no-joke no-joke? Sa kaka-delay — first the Lower House, then the Senate: why was the Senate so loath to proceed forthwith, all of three months before May 12 — nakabawi tuloy ang VP, thanks to a very smart comms team that has had her strutting on social media platforms, hitting at the Marcos admin non-stop for the poverty high prices and corruption  (never mind that she has nothing to offer by way of alternative economic policies) and then, post-arrest, doubling down with the “kidnap” of Tatay Digong, tugging at heartstrings with the sob story of advanced age, ill health, 27 pills a day, at kung anuano pa.

Sa madaling salita, had the impeachment trial proceeded, forthwith, back in maybe Dec 2024, it would could conceivably have ended with a conviction by Feb or Mar 2025.  And if the DOJ had also put off Digong’s arrest till May 13, then hindi nadagdagan nang katakut-takot ang mga hinaing ng mga Duterte, and maybe there would have been no consolidating the DDS base, tsismis pa lang kasi. At the very least, the political dynamics would have been quite different come election day. And BBM would not be in the spot that he is in now.

And then again, I could be completely off the mark, and it’s all just a matter of charisma pala, as many analysts and observers say. I tend to think though that the old man Digong’s high trust ratings only indicate that one of two Filipinos think, feel, he should face trial here, not in The Hague, just because kawawa naman ang matanda.

Besides, say pa ng DDS vlogger lawyers sa You Tube, okay naman ang judicial system natin, Digong would get a fair deal. Yeah, right. Imagine the wheeling and dealing. But that’s another story.

***

Rodrigo Duterte: A Fascist Original by Walden Bello Feb 2017
Charisma and Rodrigo Duterte by Randy David Nov 2021
‘The Punisher’: Rodrigo Duterte’s violent reign… by Rebecca Ratcliffe Jun 2022
Rodrigo Duterte’s Popularity … Covid-19 Pandemic by Kasuya and Miwa Nov 2023
Rodrigo Duterte: The provocative but popular Philippine strongman Mar 2025

That ‘vangag’ video

Back in July 2024, the first time I saw it on Facebook, I laughed. Siya ba ‘yan? At ganoon ba talaga suminghot ng cocaine? At saan, kailan, na-shoot ang video na ‘yan?

The very same SONA day it was released by U.S.-based DDS vlogger Maharlika on social media, the Department of Information and Communications Technology (DICT) pronounced it a “poorly designed deepfake video that can easily be identified using simple tools openly available online.” https://www.abs-cbn.com/news/

The next day in a joint presscon, the NBI and the PNP shared the results of their “video spectral analysis”: the ears of the man in the video [the tragal notch and the antitragus, both on the outer parts of the ear] and those of BBM are different. https://verafiles.org/

Brig. Gen. Ronnie Francis Cariaga, Anti-Cybercrime Group (ACG) director, said they had the same findings after an artificial intelligence detection tool revealed significant discrepancies in the facial features of Marcos and the person in the video, such as the size of the ears, shape of the eyes and nose and sideburns.

Citing their analysis, Cariaga said the video is fake and was created using artificial intelligence (AI). https://www.philstar.com/

VERA Files Fact Check went for an independent assessment, reached out to AI detection experts of the Deepfakes Analysis Unit (DAU) part of the India-based Misinformation Combat Alliance. Three tools — Sensity AI, HIVE, and TrueMedia — found the video to be suspicious, bearing traces of manipulation at multiple points of the video’s run-time. Read ‘Polvoron’ video crumbles, AI experts find traces of facial manipulation.

The DAU also shared analysis from their partner GetReal Labs, which was co-founded by University of California-Berkeley professor Hany Farid and his team specializing in digital forensics and AI detection.

“[T]he human ear is a fairly decent biometric. Because a face-swap deepfake is only eyebrow to chin and ear to ear, the ears can often be used as indication of a fake. Attached is a two-frame animation (1 screenshot from the video, 1 from President Marcos’s recent state of the nation address) in which you can see some differences in the shape of the ear. The structure of the face and the hairline also seem quite different.”

That was in Sept 2024 pa when Vera Files confirmed the PNP and NBI findings. Not that it ever stopped the DDS from screaming “b(v)angag!” at every opportunity, accompanied by calls for BBM to resign or for people power to oust him, like father like son. The most consistent and strident calls coming from the vlogger who released it, and former RRD spokesman now self-exile Harry Roque.

Not that they were ever able to raise the requisite crowds clamoring for the same, but they never dropped the advocacy either. In fact, the DDS patriarch’s surprise rendition to The Hague raised the pitch of the vlogger and the exile to hysterical heights so it did not surprise that the latest TRIcomm hearing on vloggers and fake news saw fit to acknowledge and go public with an affidavit by vlogger Pebbles Talakera that related what she knew of the video “para itama ang mali” — basically that Roque is behind it daw.

Of course Roque has denied it, accusing government of a “political witch hunt” and Pebbles of “fake news.”

Ang totoo: Taong 2022 pa ay usap usapan na sa vlog ni Maharlika ang polvoron video. … Isa lang ang sigurado: Ka-jamming ni Marcos Jr ang kumuha at source ng video, at ang taong ito na malapit kay PBBM ay ibinigay ang video kay Maharlika. https://www.facebook.com/HarryRoque/

Maharlika and Roque insist that the video is authentic, “no evidence of editing,” according daw to forensic experts who prefer to remain unnamed except in a court of law. Maharlika has long been daring the BBM admin to take her to court, charge her with cyberlibel, or something like that, if they’re so sure it’s fake. And many observers even agree, na dapat patulan na, or it might fester, or something like that.

Umm, but that would be, like, sponsoring her debut in mainstream media to which she has been denied entry so far — nauna pa nga si Pebbles. Which is just as well because hindi pang mainstream media ang lenggwahe niya, na nagiging medyo bastos at bulgar lalo na pag may kinakagalitan siya at na-ha-highblood. Wouldn’t it be wiser to keep her in her place?

Of course, it would be a different matter if she were to come back and face the music here. Mainstream media tiyak ang landing niya [bleep bleep]. At kung bitbit niya ang AI forensic experts nila ni Harry, it would be a blast to see them facing off with Vera Files‘ DAU experts.

I’d place my bet on Vera Files. I suspect that Maharlika’s “puting ahas” was pulling her leg, and she fell for it. OR maybe she’s always known that it’s a deepfake but it’s good enough for destab purposes? and for the DDS?