showdown 2010

17 June 2009

grabe.   sa halip na mapaghandaan natin nang maayos ang 2010 elections, lalo tayong nagaaway-away over issues that could have been put off naman, sa totoo lang, until after we would have elected na a new president with a clear mandate.    manolo quezon is right, gma is Outflanking her enemies.

… we are seeing a dizzying number of possibilities raised, knocked down, revived, shelved, or what have you; the essentials, however, have been identified -primarily, an election in 2010- while everyone is still kept guessing, so that the resources of the enemy are dissipated while that of the administration is more cohesive; the military and police have been kept fat and well-groomed, the hierarchy remains divided, and everything is geared for resolution in the Supreme Court.

I know many people, both among her admirers and her critics, strongly believe the President’s bottom line is simple: she does not want to be disgraced by going to jail, and she wants to complete her term. I do believe that her stay in office has also convinced her that God put her in power to kick the country into shape. Therefore to be convinced of failure when it comes to the former, will only inspire her to pursue staying in power, as her self-preservation, to her mind, becomes a case of national survival, too.

So all options must remain on the table for the duration, if only to keep everyone guessing. It helps distract her leading opponents, but also, helps keep her supporters tractable.

and even if, in the end, gma gives  it up, and by some stroke of luck the opposition unites behind one presidential candidate, things can still go wrong in 2010.

JPE warns of chaos in 2010
Next president to find govt coffers empty
By Rhaydz B. Barcia, Manila Times Correspondent

LEGAZPI CITY, Albay: Failure of the computerized elections in 2010 would cause “chaos” but, if the polls succeeded, the winner would find the government coffers “empty,” Senate President Juan Ponce Enrile said over the weekend.

“I would like to urge the people through the [people of Legazpi City] to be very, very careful in this coming election of the leaders who will handle the Philippines in 2010 and beyond,” he said.

“I would like to tell you that we’re facing a critical period in our history. The elections in 2010 are very critical because, for the first time in our political history, we are going to change the manner of [conducting the] elections,” Enrile added, referring to the fully automated polls next year. He spoke during a program here marking the 50th anniversary of the city.

Enrile expressed fears that the electronic voting could go haywire.

“We’re going to use machines to record and count the votes, [when in the past] we were using human beings or teachers,” he said. “What will happen if the machines break down? What do you think will happen to our country? This country will be in a total chaos, there will be no government or leaders, no soldiers, no policemen, no Supreme Court. What will happen to our country? It will be the rule of the strongest among us. I hope that will not happen.”

Empty coffers

Enrile added that the successor of President Gloria Arroyo would discover that the government was broke.

“If President Arroyo, an economist, a very intelligent woman and a very determined person [has been able to] run the government despite the opposition and the obstacles that have been placed before her [but still] could not manage the nation as we want it to be, how much more the next President [who] will be confronted with so many problems and [who will be expected to] unify a fragmented force? How could he or she do it when the country’s coffers are empty?” he said.

and he goes on:

“So, if we want clean governance, it should begin at the kitchen of Malacañang because one of the [problems] in the country is corruption and if you clean up your backyard, the rest [stamping out of the other problems] will follow,” Enrile added.

what does enrile mean?   that there is time to oust gma and her corrupt ways before 2010?   is he advocating extra-constitutional action a la EDSA?    is ping lacson’s call for civil disobedience, for a tax revolt, vs charter change a meaningless coincidence?   because in february ’86 it was cory’s civil disobedience campaign and economic boycott which coryistas took up that paved the way for EDSA.   is it possible that enrile and lacson are on the same page these days?   can honasan and lacson, former classmates, batchmates, pma ’71, finally be on the same page too?   nakakaintriga.

or is enrile just saying that we need to elect a president in 2010 who is without a taint of corruption?   but wait, here’s more from him, about drawing inspiration from the china experience.

According to him, China used to be the doormat of the world but later became an emerging superpower through the will of the government and the people.

Enrile said that the Chinese had told him that their determination and that of their leaders brought about a modern China free from domination of other countries. The same resolve, he added, could see China outshining the United States.

“I will tell you, in this decade [China] will overtake America. China will become the superpower of the world, because [it has] prepared [itself for that role],” Enrile said.

He allowed, though, that China’s ascendancy entailed economic and political costs. Still, Enrile said, the price the Chinese people paid went to “freedom.”

“True enough, [the Chinese] government is a little bit rigid compared to our government, and I’m not trying to say [that we] adapt the [Chinese] system but, nonetheless, we must work together as a people in order to bring progress and to make our country really free,” he added.

Enrile’s visit to Legazpi City coincided with celebrations there commemorating the 111th anniversary of the proclamation of independence.

He said that his wish for the occasion was to see the country attain economic freedom and freedom from poverty.

hmm.   will of the government and the people.   determination.   resolve.   progress.   freedom from poverty.   freedom from domination of other countries.   but with economic and political costs.   paying the price for “freedom” . . . . sounds like a political platform.   who’s the candidate kaya.   siya mismo?    sana hindi.

erap is right, there’s no hope of beating gma’s annointed in 2010 unless the opposition gets behind a single ticket.   maybe enrile can be a uniting force.    maybe the presidentiables will listen to him.   sana he can inspire them to rise above self-interests for the sake of the country.   sana together they can arrive at a consensus, agree on a platform and a ticket that would have a fighting chance against gma’s money and machinery.   then 2010 might be worth dying for.

10 Responses to showdown 2010

  1. June 17, 2009 at 1:37 pm

    failure of elections scenario? agenda kaya ni jpe kasi sayang lang kung tatakbo siya tapos wala palang maproproclaim?

  2. June 17, 2009 at 1:50 pm

    the machines might break down indeed. di niya kailangan tumakbo para umeksena in a failure of elections scenario. shades of 86? he does seem to be flexing his muscles recently, showing us age does not matter?

  3. June 17, 2009 at 7:16 pm

    Gloria Arroyo should handpick her husband,Mike Arroyo,as presidential candidate of the newly-merged Partido Lakas-Kampi (“PALAKA”) .

  4. June 18, 2009 at 3:22 pm

    hah! the biggest palaka of all ;)

  5. June 18, 2009 at 3:24 pm

    @ mlq3: failure of elections scenario not farfetched at all. check out ninez http://tribune.net.ph/commentary/20090616com2.html and lito banayo http://www.malaya.com.ph/jun18/edbanayo.htm

  6. June 21, 2009 at 2:46 pm

    the question then becomes: do we exert effort to make the counting work, despite everything?

  7. June 21, 2009 at 6:14 pm
    satur sulit

    it is perhaps the only thing one can do: exert effort to make the counting work, despite everything. everything else is possible once the counting works. are melo’s computers the answer? certainly not the way they are going about it. it is an awfully expensive mistake and at best a good citizen must work to maximize its benefits and prevent its worst effects.

  8. June 21, 2009 at 6:50 pm

    says lito banayo: “For where is the cheating done? Not so much in the voting process (vote-buying, cadena de amor…one is accepted as a given; the other is something alert watchers for a candidate should be able to foil), but in the canvass, where election return is transferred into a statement of votes and a certificate of canvass which shall be the basis for proclamation of winners. So Gus Lagman says, speed up the canvass through computerized recording and transmission of the election returns as base document. Melo would not listen.”

    until we’re sure of the machines, parang it makes sense na manual na muna the voting and counting at precinct level. indeed sa canvass nagkakadagdagbawasan, so sa level na iyon onwards lang muna i-computerize. except maybe for a few places, where the voting and counting are computerized at all levels, to test the machines?

  9. June 22, 2009 at 11:20 am
    GabbyD

    regarding lito banayo’s fears (your second link):

    how does he know the names will have to be printed so small? it doesn’t have to be so small — it depends on what kind of machine they use, and what size of paper it accepts.

    how do we get this kind of info anyways?

  10. June 22, 2009 at 1:11 pm

    check out neal cruz’s inquirer column: Has Comelec solved all the problems [http://opinion.inquirer.net/inquireropinion/columns/view/20090622-211742/Has-Comelec-solved-all-the-problems]. he foresees the same problems as lito banayo:

    “Easily, there can be 300 names on each ballot. The ballot can be from two to three feet long.” and using thermal paper it seems. so yes, most likely the font will be reduced, if only to economize on paper…

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